2015 – The warmest year on record?

Many eminent scientists confidently expect that 2015 will be the warmest year that humans have recorded. 2014 was previously the warmest year. The so called pause in global warming has been illusory.

The globe has warmed in the past ten years but the extra heat has not been in the atmosphere but has been absorbed by the ocean. As anyone who tries to boil a pot knows it is easy to boil it if you place the heat under it, but if you place the heat above the pot only the top surface of the water will be heated and the rest of the heat will dissipate into the atmosphere.

It seems to me that this is the same process by which the oceans have absorbed as much heat as they can so far, and the excess heat is now going atmospheric, where humans may measure and record it more easily. I hope I am wrong but fear my instincts are right and that the global warming saga is not just another pot boiler.

3 Responses

  1. You don’t say who are these eminent scientists.

    However, you refer to the ‘warmest year humans have recorded’. Therein lie a number of problems. Firstly the timescale. That is how long have humans been measuring global temperature. Not very long compared to the existence of the planet. Secondly, many of the older temperature measuring stations have been enveloped in building development and are now susceptible to local warming. Thirdly, and very importantly, the humans in question don’t just record, they also ….ADJUST.

    Professor Kealey is investigating the amount of adjusting made by certain agencies, he said:

    “Many people have found the extent of adjustments to the data surprising. While we believe that the 20th century warming is real, we are concerned by claims that the actual trend is different from – or less certain than – has been suggested”

    • Chris

      We have only been recording some of the data for about 200 years and still now even today with all our technology cannot record every material piece of information. The time scale should be measured in terms of what we can regard has civilised human existence here – probably no more than 5,000 years.
      You are right about older temperature stations being enveloped in buildings, but this is still data we should record and mark. London is usually one degree higher than the surrounding countryside, because of the buildings. Conurbations now cover a very large part of the land mass, so that data is relevant.
      I tend to agree with you about adjustments. My natural reaction is to be suspicious of them – they smell of a trick.

      Rob

  2. Rob we have been recording manual levels here in Yorkshire for over 30 years, and the overall trend is falling or cooling overall.
    We should go back to manual recording and be able to phone in the results like it used to be, then we will get to the bottom of this conundrum.

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